Prospects for Philippine Elections in 2010
If surveys are to be believed, NoynoyAquino will win in the Philippine elections on 2010.
Even The Center’s survey, which claims to show Noynoy Aquino took a stationary dive (meaning the ratings of other contenders for the Presidency surged while his ratings stood still), says that Aquino continues to enjoy wide lead over Villar.
Pulse Asia says:
The survey conducted Dec. 6-10 nationwide among 1,800 adults, showed Aquino with 45 percent of the respondents, followed by Sen. Manny Villar (Nacionalista) with 23 percent, former President Erap Estrada (Puwersa ng Masang Pilipino) with 19 percent, and former Defense Secretary Gibo Teodoro (Lakas-Campi-CMD) with 8 percent.
Social Weather Stations says:
Once again, Liberal Party standard-bearer Senator Benigno Simeon “Noynoy” Aquino III has topped a nationwide survey, with almost half of the respondents saying they will vote form him as president.
Results of the December 5 to 10 survey conducted by pollster Social Weather Stations (SWS) showed that 46 percent of 2,100 respondents had chosen Aquino. The same survey also showed Aquino’s running-mate, Sen. Manuel “Mar” Roxas II, leading the pack of vice presidential bets in 2010.
Makati Business Club says:
The Makati Business Club, in a Dec. 8-18 survey among its members, gave a 61-percent vote to Noynoy Aquino and only seven percent to Manny Villar, the biggest businessman among presidential candidates.
The members of the MBC, composed of over 800 top executives from some 450 of the largest firms in the country, were asked in a mailed survey: “Who among the candidates running in the 2010 elections would you prefer to see as the next Philippine president and vice president?”
Close to 13 percent of MBC members participated in the survey. About 85 percent of the respondents were Filipinos, while seven percent were foreigners. Eight percent did not indicate their nationality. They were not asked to explain their choices.
At present, while surveys put Noynoy Aquino in the lead, we may see solid campaigning from other contenders gaining some headway in the next few days.
Among the contenders, Senator Manny Villar’s camp may be in the best position to grab the lead position from Noynoy Aquino. The son of the late Senator Noynoy Aquino and former President Cory Aquino may have come roaring out of the starting gate and may have grabbed the lead only momentarily, what is needed by Noynoy’s camp at this stage is a means of sustaining the pace of his campaign’s forward momentum.
Villar, having started campaigning much earlier than Noynoy Aquino, has already built up a steady forward momentum. His machinery on the ground has been up and running for nearly two years now, perhaps even longer. His campaign (both media and ground operations) may have saturated voting populations across the Philippines more deeply.
Aquino, while being immensely popular is still in the process of touching base and closing links with supporters in provinces. While Noynoy Aquino’s media campaign has been effective, Filipino political culture still places a high value on national candidates their home town or province.
New Pinoy Politics 
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